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Tuesday, November 2nd, 2010

Turnout Worries For Dems
An enthusiastic Sean kicked of Tuesday’s Election Day show by referencing an article on low voter turnout which appeared in today’s Wall Street Journal Online {Article}. The article discussed the tight Delaware Senate race between Chris Coons and Christine O’Donnell. According to an email alert to supporters, Coons campaign manager Christy Gleason said close monitoring of voter turnout in the state’s 41 representative districts showed “lower turnout in New Castle and Kent counties than we’re comfortable with.” To win, Mr. Coons will have to get heavy support from Democrats and independents in New Castle, the state’s most populous county. “This is great!” Sean exclaimed. “This means that in districts that maybe nobody even thought were in play, are now in play.” If Vice President Biden’s rally in downtown Wilmington, Delaware, in which just 200 people attended, is any indication of Democratic voter turnout – the DNC is in for a rough evening {Article}.

Republicans On Probation?
Pollsters John Zogby and Scott Rasmussen joined Sean to discuss Election Day turnout and any early results that may have trickled in. Zogby painted a more conservative estimate of how well Republicans might do at the polls. “I don’t disagree with the Gallop polls but I have a five point differential between Republicans and Democrats. That being said, here’s what we know. I think already Republicans have picked up forty six seats in the house. Either way you look at it, Republicans are going to have a very good day,” Zogby concluded. Rasmussen also expressed a positive outlook for Republicans but suggested the GOP should be cautious. “I think it’s still important to remember that Republicans are just being put on probation. This is the same thing that we saw in 2006 and 2008 in terms of voting against the party in power. The first thing voters are going to look to see is if Republicans behave the last time they were in power or are they actually going to bring about change? Fewer than half the voters nationwide believe that giving control of Congress to Republicans will make a noticeable change in people’s lives,” Rasmussen added.

Morris: “Welcome To The Day Of Reckoning”
Political author and commentator Dick Morris joined Sean in the final hour of Tuesday’s show. Morris, who has been extraordinarily positive over the past several weeks about the Republicans’ chances on Election Day, reaffirmed his outlook. Morris also highlighted several key races to keep an eye on tonight. The race for Indiana’s 2nd District Congressional seat is a heated one between Democrat incumbent Joe Donnelly and challenger Republican Jackie Walorski. “If Walorski can pull this off, you’re probably looking at Republicans winning one hundred seats in the House,” Morris told Sean. The other race to keep an eye on is Kentucky’s third district in which Republican Todd Lally is hoping to unseat U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth. For a comprehensive listing of the major political headlines from tonight’s races and complete Election Day results, make sure to check out Hannity’s Election Day Headquarters on Hannity.com.

Show Guests

Dick Morris

Dick Morris (born November 28, 1948) is an American political author and commentator who previously worked as a pollster , political campaign consultant , and general political consultant . Morris became an adviser to the Bill Clinton administration after Clinton was elected president in 1992. Morris encouraged Clinton to pursue third way policies of triangulation that merged traditional Republican and Democratic proposals, rhetoric, and issues to achieve maximum political gain and popularity. He worked as a Republican strategist before joining the Clinton administration, where he helped Clinton recover from the 1994 midterm elections by convincing the President to adopt Republican policies. [1] The president consulted Morris in secret beginning in 1994. [2] Clinton's communications director George Stephanopoulos has said that "Over the course of the first nine months of 1995, no single person had more power over the president". [2] Morris... More >

Scott Rasmussen

Scott W. Rasmussen (born circa 1955) is an American public opinion pollster. He is the founder and president of Rasmussen Reports. He also co-founded the sports network ESPN, and is currently president of the Methodist Ocean Grove Camp Meeting Association in Ocean Grove, New Jersey, where he resides.

John Zogby

John Zogby (born 1948) is an American political pollster and first senior fellow at The Catholic University of America's Life Cycle Institute. He is the founder, president and CEO of Zogby International, a polling firm known for both phone polling and interactive, Internet-based polling.

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